Same Poll, But Very Interesting Results
A new poll of 495 likely Hoosier voters is telling the same story seen in previous polls, but with a new twist.
As shown in earlier independent and partisan polls, Mitt Romney and Mike Pence are walking away with their races and Richard Mourdock is in a tight race with Joe Donnelly. However, the crosstabs show an interesting breakdown of where the candidates are doing well and places where they need help.
The poll was conducted by YouGov.com.
The poll shows Mitt Romney beating President Barack Obama, 53% to 41%. Mike Pence leads John Gregg 49% to 38%, 13% are undecided. And Mourdock leads Donnelly by single digits, 45% to 41%, with 15% undecided.
In terms of geographical breakdown, the polls show very interesting results.
Mourdock leads in every region of the state except Indianapolis, however he only has a 2-point lead in Northwest Indiana and 26% of the voters there are undecided. And while enjoys double-digit leads in the doughnut counties and the rest of central Indiana, Donnelly leads 59-24 in Indianapolis and 17% of voters are undecided.
In the Governor’s race, Pence has double digit leads in all parts of the state, except Indianapolis, where Gregg has a 27-point margin. However, Pence has a nearly 30-point lead in Southern Indiana and is also pulling 24% of the African-American vote statewide.
In the race for U.S. Representative for their Congressional districts, 47% intend to vote for the Republican candidate for the House in their district, and 36% for the Democrat.
Looking at the data breakdown for Indianapolis, voters are choosing the Democratic for Congress over the Republican 51% – 38%, 11% say they are undecided. That race features incumbent Andre Carson against Republican Carlos May.
The poll was conducted October 4-11. It had a margin of error of +/-5.6%
