My Political Predictions*
My good friend Jim Shella has made his predictions for today’s primary, so I figured I would jump into the fray. However, like a good attorney, I always hedge my bets. My predictions are based on numerous calls across the state today as well as everything we’ve seen so far. These are for entertainment purposes only. :-)
- U.S. Senate – Richard Mourdock by 5-7 or Richard Lugar by 1-2. (This will really depend on how good Lugar’s GOTV efforts are today, especially in the doughnut counties. How’s that for hedge betting?)
- 5th CD – Too close to call, but I would not be surprised to see a John McGoff or Susan Brooks win. The voter/residency issue has hit David McIntosh pretty hard in the last three weeks.
- 6th CD – Luke Messer. If Travis Hankins wins, all political hell will break lose.
- 8th CD – Larry Buschon. There had been some talk that tea party challenger Kristi Risk might pull off an upset, but she appears to have fallen off the radar screen.
- House District 37 -Todd Huston, but Debbie Driskell comes close.
- House District 91 – Bob Behning.
- House District 92 – Tim Motsinger, because of local party ground game.
- Senate District 35 – Toss up. Mike Young (who I admit I am not a big fan of) has the joy of incumbency. However, challenger Dan Kinnamon has been working like crazy and the district is split evenly between Hendricks and Marion County.
*Of course I could be completely off base and I will be the first one to admit it. I can see several scenarios where the outcomes will make perfect sense, however, I had to go with something. I’ll have a complete recap in the morning.
