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Poll Positions

The latest polls on Indiana’s U.S. Senate race and Secretary of State’s race are revealing some bad news for Democrats.  According to the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics, if the election were held today Dan Coats would return to the U.S. Senate and Charlie White (at least for now) would be Indiana’s next Secretary of State.

The survey of 1600 likely voters shows both Coats and White with double-digit leads over their political opponents.

U.S. Senate

  • Dan Coats – 54%.
  • Brad Ellsworth – 32%.
  • Rebecca Sink-Burris – 7%.
  • Undecided/Other – 7%.

Secretary of State

  • Charlie White – 51%.
  • Vop Osili – 31%.
  • Mike Wherry – 7%.
  • Undecided/Other – 10%.

An examination of the cross-tabs show some interesting trends.  71% of those survey say the nation is on the wrong track and 43% say the economy is the number issue of this election.

Both White and Coats are polling above 50% in all parts of the state, while Ellsworth and Osili are in the low 30s.  White and Coats also lead among independents.     The Downs Center poll also shows more Republicans are likely to vote this election season than Democrats, 56-31.  In 2008, that number was virtually tied, 44-42; the Republicans  had a slight lead.

What’s most damming about this poll, is not that it tends to fall in line with other polls (both published and unpublished), but if the Democrats are losing by more than 20-points with the race at the top of ticket.  And their candidate who has been accused of voter fraud is also winning by 20-points, then what does that say for races near the bottom of the ticket? Say the Indiana House of Representatives, for example?

Is the electorate so upset with the Democratic brand that they will to cast them all aside, regardless of office?  It really is looking like it.   And if these numbers hold, Tuesday won’t just be bloodbath, it will be a wholesale political slaughter.

Yikes!